Share with your Friends:More Geocaching doesn’t stop when the sun goes down. That’s especially true when the winter days grow short. A group of Ontario, Canada geocachers known as the BFL Crew go night caching every Friday. Once a year though, it’s not just a few people on the hunt for night caches – more than two hundred geocachers take the woods after dark. Saturday, October 29 will mark the sixth annual “BFL BOOT CAMP.”The cache page promises, “an evening full of mischief planned, and we’re sure you’ll enjoy it.” John Robb of teamvoyagr is one of more than 15 organizers for the event. He’s been introducing people to night caching for years. He says, “It is natural for people to be apprehensive about going in the woods at night to find caches. Your senses become heightened. You have to keep your eyes open for branches, roots, rocks and other obstacles that are in your path. Noises sound different and much closer at night. The creaking tree always seems closer when it’s dark. This heightened sensitivity is what makes night caching so much fun. You feel the experience more than you see it. ”BFL Boot CampThe night caching community has grown over the last six years of BFL Boot Camp. Attendance for the 2011 event has already climbed to more than 200 “will attends” and there’s still time to register.John says part of that success of the event is experiencing the joy of night caching and part of it is enjoying the geocaching community. Hey says, “The BFL Bootcamp combines the fun of caching at night with the group camaraderie of caching with friends. Small groups form up and head out to find the caches. The event runs from 2100h to 0400h and over the course of the night groups will encounter each other on the trails. At those meetings previous finders pass on encouragement and warnings about the challenges of certain caches. As word spreads anticipation mounts.”This year John says there’s more to experience at night than any other BFL Boot Camp. He says, “This year there have been caches that use reflectors, ultra-violet light (UV), infra-red light, glow in the dark, lasers, LEDs, polarized light, Wherigo and one even used braille.”If you can’t make it Ontario for the BFL Bootcamp, John offers this advice for your own night caching event, “Start with the basics. Not everyone wants to go traipsing through the woods at night. Create some caches that aren’t too complicated so that people can be rewarded for overcoming their apprehension with a find or two. Finding a night cache is more about your awareness skills than it is about your GPSr. ”Here’s four easy tips from John about how to get started night caching in small groups:1) Find a Partner: (or partners): John says, “[We] encourage group searching. We don’t advise doing anything in the woods alone at night.”BFL Boot Camp2) Light up the Night: John says, “Another important point about night caching is having good lights. An LED headlamp is the best type of light to use. FireTacks [special reflectors] seem to show up better with an LED light. Anything that is retro reflective is much brighter the closer the light source is to your eye.” You may also want to bring a UV light. Many night caching clues involve UV light.3)Don’t go Dark: John says, “And don’t forget the extra batteries.”4) Be Aware: Check out some of these favorite night caches to see what’s out there. John says, “Blind Man’s Bluff (GC2G4AV) which required the finder to use locate six tubes that had braille numbers punched on the inside. Underworld (GC2D81G). This cache required the finder to enter several slot caves in the Niagara Escarpment and locate reflectors. This was a physically as well as mentally challenging cache. A tricky cache from two years ago was Signs of Night (GC1Y19Z). The simplicity of this cache can fool you. My group couldn’t figure it out without the help of the hint. I really enjoyed this cache for its elegant simplicity.”For more on night caching check out this Geocaching.com video. SharePrint RelatedJanuary Geocacher of the Month Nominees – Add Your CommentFebruary 7, 2014In “Community”August’s Geocacher of the Month: I hope you’re not afraid of awesomeAugust 20, 2014In “Community”Announcing the April 2015 Geocacher of the MonthMay 13, 2015In “Community”
Editor’s note: we offer our long-term sponsors the opportunity to write ‘Sponsor Posts’ and tell their story. These posts are clearly marked as written by sponsors, but we also want them to be useful and interesting to our readers. We hope you like the posts and we encourage you to support our sponsors by trying out their products.Over the past decade, the Internet has evolved at a rapid pace, and if you didn’t jump on the bandwagon in years past you may be feeling like it’s a bit too late to establish an online business. That’s not the case, however, and 2010 is the perfect time to start doing business online. The underlying technologies of Internet architecture are well-established and are more affordable now than ever to end-users.The last several years have also seen a huge increase in the number of available social tools, web utilities and online services that make promoting your business and being visible online easier and more affordable. The number of Internet users continues to grow substantially across the globe, and there are an expansive number of channels you can use to reach potential customers online.From an economic perspective, now is also a good time to consider starting or growing your business. The global economy is showing signs of recovery from recession, and catching an economic upswing when growing a small business is always a good thing. Small business loans from banks and other creditors may still be difficult to come by, however, which makes an online business an even better choice due to low start-up costs. In recent history, a great deal of attention has been paid to the massive growth in large social networks, but now the Internet appears to be shifting towards a more local or hyperlocal focus with smaller communities inside bigger networks becoming more common. As a result, small businesses offering local products or services can find a targeted audience of potential customers to engage with.All these factors make now a great time to start your business online. Follow through on a 2010 resolution to make money from what you enjoy doing by starting a complete business from the ground up, adding an online component to your existing physical business, or just using a website to supplement other income and test the water for your idea. Below are a few steps you can take to get started.9 Steps to Getting Your Business OnlineFind a little cash: It’s probably going to cost a lot to get started with a business website, right? Not so much. Don’t fool yourself into thinking that you can’t afford to start a business online just because you see startups with millions of dollars in venture capital funding featured on ReadWriteWeb or other tech blogs. A huge number of successful online small businesses were started out of a home office or garage workspace. The Internet is massive, and if you can find a good niche, you don’t have to be everywhere at once to be successful. Costs for getting started with a domain name, hosting, basic website creation and online marketing can easily be kept under $1,000 in your first year of business if you plan well.Get a strong domain name: If you’re in the early planning stages of your business, always keep potential domain names in mind when choosing a business name. If you move forward with a great business name only to find the domain name is taken, it could mean back to square one on name planning. Instead, keep a domain search handy as you brainstorm and get creative with names to find a great fit. Your domain name will be your website’s permanent address on the web, so it’s important to get it right the first time.Get Web hosting: You’d be surprised how many people think the domain name is all they need to build a website. What you need next is a place to store website files online. That could be something as simple as basic web hosting or a more powerful solution such as a virtual private server – both of which we offer at MyDomain. There are many other options as well, including self-hosting on your own server. There’s a decent chance you know these basics already, so if that’s the case, make sure to share your knowledge with others who are looking to get started online.Build a website: There are a huge number of options when it comes to creating a website in 2010. Most hosting packages come with some a website builder that will create a decent, if not slightly dated looking website from a template. If you’re not experienced in web design but want to create a good-looking site yourself, look into content management systems such as Drupal, Joomla, or even WordPress as viable options that are easy to keep updated. The best – and not-surprisingly most costly option – still remains to hire a Web design company or freelancer. But if you’re serious about your online business, your website design and usability should be a top priority.Create an e-commerce strategy: Now comes the fun part: figuring out how to let other people pay you. If you want to have an integrated shopping cart solution, you’ll be able to sell directly through your site and manage complete product listings. However, this type of solution is the most expensive and complex way to sell online, and a simpler solution may be a better fit for a small business just getting started. A great place to start is simply integrating services such as Paypal or Google Checkout into your website to accept payments. Another viable alternative is to use a website as an informational source for your business, but sell through another online vendor like Amazon, eBay, or Etsy. A final option is to choose to not sell online, but instead establish a website to promote and market your physical business.Secure your site: If you’re planning to sell through your website or will even be collecting sensitive information from visitors, you’ll want to look into getting an SSL certificate for your website. SSL encrypts data transmissions to and from your website and is most commonly used to protect credit card and financial data. Varying levels of encryption and visible security indicators for your website are available.Network like crazy: Traditional networking can be crucial to the early success of a business, and social media can enable you to network effectively online. Talk about social media for business use is everywhere, and there are a huge number of resources and articles available to help you get started. Make sure that above all else, you go where your customers are. Utilize the tools that will allow you to most effectively communicate with those customers.Track like crazy, too: Make sure you’re using website analytics to track your website visitors and sales. Part of the beauty of the web versus a traditional storefront is the ability to easily track, sort and analyze all of the data collected from visitors to your website. Analytics can help you improve your website design, track your sales conversion, see where you’re ranking in search engines and much more. Google provides some of the best options available with Analytics, Webmaster Tools and Website Optimizer that all provide invaluable data for any online business.Grow and organize for the future: If you’ve made it to the point where you have a website set up, sales are coming in and your business is growing, it’s the perfect time to make sure you’re fully organized online. Use custom email addresses for your business, and make use of powerful collaboration, calendar and task management tools such as Open Xchange, Microsoft Exchange or Google Apps. Stay on top of the latest Internet trends and changes as things will continue to change rapidly for the foreseeable future. From there, carry your 2010 success long into the future as the Web continues to expand as a great place to do business. 8 Best WordPress Hosting Solutions on the Market Tags:#Sponsors#web rww sponsor 1 A Web Developer’s New Best Friend is the AI Wai… Why Tech Companies Need Simpler Terms of Servic… Related Posts Top Reasons to Go With Managed WordPress Hosting
China and America want the AI Prize Title: Who … How OKR’s Completely Transformed Our Culture Tags:#ShiftLeft Related Posts Brad AndersonEditor In Chief at ReadWrite Brad is the editor overseeing contributed content at ReadWrite.com. He previously worked as an editor at PayPal and Crunchbase. You can reach him at brad at readwrite.com. The movement of software into the cloud has enabled developers to release new features at a staggering pace. But, all this change has created a fundamental security problem: How do you secure software that’s no longer monolithic and instead consists of hundreds of microservices that are updated multiple times daily?This is a challenge that organizations continue to struggle with – just look at the attacks sustained by Equifax and Yahoo, or pick any of the of hundreds of publicly reported data breaches involving California citizens’ personal information here. Unfortunately, the problem is getting worse. Not only does Verizon’s 2018 Data Breach Investigations Report list web application attacks as the leading source of breaches in 2018, but according to another recent report, the number of web application attacks, particularly vulnerabilities related to injection (such as SQL, command, object, etc.), increased by 23 percent last year (with more than half of those vulnerabilities providing a public exploit available to hackers).Recognizing this growing issue, investors are betting big on solutions that can help developers better secure code, and offer customized security for every version of every application in the DevOps cycle. In fact, application-specific cloud security startup ShiftLeft today announced that it has raised a $20 million Series B funding round led by Thomvest Ventures.“The unprecedented growth of software and data within the enterprise over the last decade makes protecting applications and data extremely critical. The team at ShiftLeft is ameliorating a serious pain point for application developers and CISOs by automating code security in a way that’s never been done before,” said Umesh Padval, venture partner at Thomvest Ventures. “The company’s industry-leading solution has set a new standard for how development teams integrate security seamlessly into the CI/CD process and for automated code analysis. The net result is that applications are far more secure during the development to production processes. Who wouldn’t want to invest in that?”This new ShiftLeft round also includes new investor SineWave Ventures, along with participation from existing investors Bain Capital Ventures and Mayfield, bringing the total company investment to $30 million. As the speed of software development continues to outpace traditional application security approaches, ShiftLeft plans to use its new funding to drive broader adoption of its code-informed runtime protection solution.“We couldn’t be more pleased with the level of support and interest we’ve received from our investors. This funding will help us expand our product portfolio and language coverage to hasten the widespread adoption of automated and customized application security for every software release,” said Manish Gupta, CEO and co-founder of ShiftLeft. “The fact that there was so much competition to get into this round is indicative of how much pent up demand there is in the market for new approaches to application security.”Founded in 2016, ShiftLeft has created a great deal of buzz in the market with its unique ability to identify and prioritize code vulnerabilities, root out false-positives and enable developers and application security teams with the level of analytics needed to secure the enterprise. Just recently, the company was named a finalist in RSA’s Innovation Sandbox (the winner will be announced during the conference in early March). Unlike traditional application security approaches that are focused on external threats and rely on manual efforts to triage inaccurate alerts, ShiftLeft is the first to use code analysis to deeply understand application vulnerabilities, and create a virtual security perimeter to detect and protect every application version against malicious or unauthorized activity targeted at those vulnerabilities.As the company works toward its aggressive growth goals, ShiftLeft has also assembled a new advisory board of prominent security and development experts, including Bob Flores (former CTO of the Central Intelligence Agency), Craig Rosen (CISO of AppDynamics), Yonatan Ryabinski (chief enterprise architect at Vanguard), Shahar Ben Hador (CIO of Exabeam), Aaron McKeown (head of security engineering and architecture at Xero), and Manish Arya (CTO of Tavant).“Finding creative ways to limit exposure to security risks and threats was a major focus throughout my career,” said Flores. “Today, the speed of software development demands an intelligent platform like ShiftLeft that can truly automate code security with software assurance and persistnt runtime monitoring. I’m thrilled to be an advisor to Manish and his team, and am excited to watch the company’s inventive approach to application security change the way software is developed and managed.”ShiftLeft has also expanded its executive team with several key hires, including Jim Sortino as the new vice president of worldwide sales. He previously held executive roles at Trend Micro and Dome9 Security (acquired by Checkpoint). What Nobody Teaches You About Getting Your Star… How to Get Started in China and Have Success
I’ve met people that knew from a very young age that they wanted to be lawyers, doctors, writers, police officers, and fire fighters. My younger brother, Jason, knew he wanted to be a professional stand up comedian when he was in third grade (His teacher gave him an assignment to draw a picture of what he wanted to be when he grew up. He drew a stick figure with the words “comedy man” scribbled above it).I don’t know any person that grew up dreaming of being a salesperson. I am sure there must be someone somewhere that grew up dreaming of carrying a bag, but I’ve never met that person (and I have met a lot of salespeople).So how do you know if sales is your path?To be honest, I have no idea how to answer this question. But since a young reader wrote to me to ask me to answer the question, I’ll do my best to share a few thoughts.If you don’t love what you do, then you stop doing it and do something else. You only get one ride on this great, spinning rock. That ticket is good for about 80 or so trips around the Sun and then you are greeted with an evicition notice. So far, there’s no appeal. I can’t think of one good reason not to do what makes you happy. If selling doesn’t make you happy, then do what does make you happy (Unless you decide to become an entrepreneur. If you believe that being an entrepreneur isn’t a sales job, you are in for a seriously big surprise).If you aren’t happy prospecting and opening relationships, if you don’t relish the challenge and rewards of creating a relationship out of thin air, then selling might not be your path. If you aren’t comfortable working on the line between conflict and collaboration, then selling might not be your path. If you would rather be told what to do, repeating the same tasks over and over again without being required to use all of your persistence, all of your initiative, and every ounce of your resourcefulness, sales might not be your path. I could make an exhaustive list here, but it won’t help.I love selling because I love the competition and challenge. I love creating value by solving problems. And I love helping other people get results that they wouldn’t get without my help. But that’s me. That’s my path. Yours is different.No one can answer the questions as to what your path should be for you. Most people won’t even bother to give you good advice. They’ll tell you to play it safe in a world that punishes people that do so. The best I can offer is that you shouldn’t do something that doesn’t make you happy, and to know that discovering your path is your path—and it might take you a lot of years to stumble upon it. Get the Free eBook! Want to master cold calling? Download my free eBook! Many would have you believe that cold calling is dead, but the successful have no fear of the phone; they use it to outproduce their competitors. Download Now
SEA Games: Biñan football stadium stands out in preparedness, completion TS Kammuri to enter PAR possibly a day after SEA Games opening Sabah says prosecutors are seeking an Interpol “Red Notice” citing Kanter’s ties to Fethullah Gulen, who is blamed for a failed coup in 2016, and accusing him of providing financial support to his group.Earlier this month, Kanter refused to travel to London for a regular-season NBA game, saying he feared he could be assassinated for his opposition to Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.FEATURED STORIESSPORTSPrivate companies step in to help SEA Games hostingSPORTSUrgent reply from Philippine football chiefSPORTSWin or don’t eat: the Philippines’ poverty-driven, world-beating pool starsKanter’s Turkish passport was revoked in 2017. Is Luis Manzano planning to propose to Jessy Mendiola? LATEST STORIES Enes Kanter #00 of the New York Knicks celebrates after hitting a three-point basket against the Milwaukee Bucks at Madison Square Garden on December 25, 2018 in New York City. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mike Stobe/Getty Images/AFPANKARA, Turkey — Turkish prosecutors are seeking an international arrest warrant for New York Knicks player Enes Kanter, accusing him of membership in a terror organization.Sabah newspaper says the Istanbul chief prosecutor’s office had also prepared an extradition request for the NBA player. Officials at the prosecutor’s office could not be reached for comment.ADVERTISEMENT Don’t miss out on the latest news and information. View comments LOOK: Joyce Pring goes public with engagement to Juancho Triviño MOST READ Private companies step in to help SEA Games hosting SEA Games: Biñan football stadium stands out in preparedness, completion Toni Basas’ status still uncertain ahead of UAAP Season 81 Sports Related Videospowered by AdSparcRead Next SEA Games hosting troubles anger Duterte LOOK: Joyce Pring goes public with engagement to Juancho Triviño Trending Articles PLAY LIST 00:50Trending Articles02:25Raptors or Warriors? PBA players take their pick of NBA champ01:43Who are Filipinos rooting for in the NBA Finals?02:42PH underwater hockey team aims to make waves in SEA Games01:44Philippines marks anniversary of massacre with calls for justice01:19Fire erupts in Barangay Tatalon in Quezon City01:07Trump talks impeachment while meeting NCAA athletes02:49World-class track facilities installed at NCC for SEA Games02:11Trump awards medals to Jon Voight, Alison Krauss
The afternoon matches saw some upsets, some blow outs and a lot of rain. Read on for a summary and some results. Mens Open: Stephen Swan scored five touchdowns, the highest individual tally in one game at this NTL so far, in the Brisbane City Cobras 14-6 win over the Barbarians. The Southern Suns are the only pool one team who is undefeated, although they were only narrow winners over the Tropical Queensland Cyclones 5-3. The Sydney Mets and Brisbane City Cobras sit at the top of pool two, having won all of their matches except their draw together. Anthony Ziade led the Mets with three touchdowns in a 9-1 win over the Crusaders in round four. Womens Open: Mary Steele scored her third touchdown hat trick of the tournament in the Brisbane City Cobras 12-1 win over the Northern Eagles, leaving them second in pool one after their narrow defeat to the Gold Coast Sharks earlier in the day. The Gold Coast Sharks are still undefeated after another win, 4-0 over the Tropical Queensland Cyclones. Pool two is being dominated by the Sydney Mets who finished today with another easy win 8-1 over the Sydney Scorpions. Mixed Open: Justin Robson was the top scorer for the fourth round in the Mixed competition. He had three touchdowns in the Gold Coast Sharks 9-2 win over the Hunter-Western Hornets. The Sharks remain undefeated and top of pool two. The Sydney Mets are still undefeated and look to be a very strong all-around team with no individual player standing out in the scoring department. The Hornets, Southern Suns and Tropical Queensland Cyclones are all still winless in the Mixed competition. Mens 20 years: With rounds four and five played during the day and then round six filling the last timeslot, it was a big day for the 20 years competition. The Sydney Rebels have continued to play on, despite having team numbers reduced to seven after injuries and drop outs. Obviously they have struggled for good results, going down 17-1 and 18-1 in rounds four and five. Cameron Nicholls, Dean Springfield and Joel Hall all scored three touchdowns for the Sydney Mets in their win over the Rebels. Hamish Jones had four touchdowns and Haiden Baker and Jai Bonner helped out with three a piece in the Gold Coast Sharks 18-1 win over the Rebels. In other games today the Tropical Queensland Cyclones narrowly defeated the Crusaders 7-6 while the Southern Suns drew the Sunshine Coast Razorbacks 4-4. Womens 20 years: After five rounds the Gold Coast Sharks are the only undefeated Womens 20 years team and are looking strong heading into the second half of the competition. The competition is tight though with four teams all within one win of the Sharks. The Sydney Mets looked strong today beating the Sunshine Coast Razorbacks 7-5 with Kataraina Withell scoring three touchdowns. The Brisbane City Cobras and the Crusaders are the only two teams yet to win a match in the competition, although they have both secured a draw. Results: Mens Open- Round 4 Sydney Scorpions def Hunter-Western Hornets: 7-4 Southern Suns def Tropical Queensland Cyclones: 5-3 Gold Coast Sharks def Northern Eagles: 10-2 Sydney Mets def Crusaders: 9-1 Brisbane City Cobras def Southern Cross Barbarians: 14-6 Sunshine Coast Razorbacks def Sydney Rebels: 7-2 Womens Open- Round 4 Brisbane City Cobras def Northern Eagles: 12-1 Gold Coast Sharks def Tropical Queensland Cyclones: 4-0 Sydney Rebels def Hunter-Western Hornets: 5-2 Southern Cross Barbarians def Southern Suns: 6-4 Sunshine Coast Razorbacks def Crusaders: 1-0 Sydney Mets def Sydney Scorpions: 8-1 Mixed Open- Round 4 Sydney Mets def Tropical Queensland Cyclones: 7-1 Southern Cross Barbarians def Southern Suns: 5-2 Gold Coast Sharks def Hunter-Western Hornets: 9-2 Brisbane City Cobras def Sunshine Coast Razorbacks: 8-1 Sydney Rebels def Crusaders: 5-3 Sydney Scorpions: Bye Mens 20 years- Round 4 Tropical Queensland Cyclones def Crusaders: 7-6 Southern Suns def Northern Eagles: 7-4 Brisbane City Cobras def Sunshine Coast Razorbacks: 6-2 Sydney Mets def Sydney Rebels: 17-1 Gold Coast Sharks: Bye Round 5: Gold Coast Sharks def Sydney Rebels: 18-1 Northern Eagles def Crusaders: 6-1 Southern Suns drew Sunshine Coast Razorbacks: 4-4 Sydney Mets def Tropical Queensland Cyclones: 9-1 Brisbane City Cobra’s: Bye Womens 20 years- Round 4 Sydney Rebels def Brisbane City Cobras: 5-0 Gold Coast Sharks def Southern Suns: 5-4 Sydney Mets Sunshine Coast Razorbacks: 7-1 Tropical Queensland def Cyclones Crusaders 8-3 Hunter-Western Hornets: Bye Round 5: Gold Coast Sharks def Tropical Queensland Cyclones: 7-1 Southern Suns def Brisbane City Cobras: 8-3 Hunter-Western Hornets def Sunshine Coast Razorbacks: 7-5 Sydney Mets def Sydney Rebels: 4-2 Crusaders: Bye media contact: Rachel Moyle, 042 223 3165
About the authorPaul VegasShare the loveHave your say Kevin McCabe release statement after Sheffield Utd rulingby Paul Vegasa month agoSend to a friendShare the loveThe legal team for Kevin McCabe have released a statement after a High Court ruling paved the way for HRH Prince Abdullah bin Musa’ad bin Abdulaziz Al Saud to become sole-owner of Sheffield United.McCabe has been ordered to sell his shareholding in the Premier League club’s parent company to the Saudi royal.In a statement, issued by public relations firm Tavistock Communications, a spokesperson said: “It will not surprise readers of the judgment to learn that the McCabes do not agree with every aspect of the judge’s decision.”However they are nevertheless grateful to the judge for the time and care he has taken over the judgment and they wish to make clear that in disagreeing with some of the conclusions they mean no disrespect to the judge.”Serious consideration is now being given, with the advisors to Sheffield United Limited, to an appeal against the judgment.”
Japan’s energy company JERA and EDF Trading Limited have signed binding agreements to form an LNG optimisation and trading joint venture to merge their activities into JERA Trading (JERAT).With demand for LNG in Japan becoming increasingly variable and difficult to predict and the ramp up in US LNG liquefaction, Europe has become a key balancing market for excess global LNG. As a result, JERA and EDFT believe that there is significant room for optimising LNG on a global basis, establishing a more liquid market, and, over time, developing a clear pricing signal for LNG in Asia.The companies will combine their LNG optimisation and trading activities into JERAT which will become the exclusive LNG optimiser for JERA and EDF S.A., managing their collective short and medium term LNG optimisation activity.Recognising the expansion of JERAT’s business globally, the parties agreed to change the name of JERA Trading to “JERA Global Markets”.“LNG remains a strategically important fuel for JERA and EDF and this agreement will bring more flexibility and scale to both partners without affecting JERA’s and EDF’s long term procurement activities,” according to JERA.As part of this transaction, EDF Trading North America, one of the leading marketers of gas and power in the region will be responsible for supplying electricity and natural gas to meet JERA’s capacity requirements at the Freeport liquefaction terminal.This transaction is subject to customary regulatory approvals and is expected to be completed by early 2019.This joint venture follows the completion of the acquisition of EDFT’s coal business by JERAT on April 4, 2017.
TIEBREAKER ROUNDCHANCES OF PLAYINGCARLSENKARJAKIN Rapid Game 3100.028.46.7 ARMAGEDDON!0.173.626.4 Blitz Match 26.972.025.7 Rapid Game 1100.0%0.0%0.0% Blitz Match 50.373.626.4 Rapid Game 2100.00.00.0 CUMULATIVE CHANCE OF WINNING CHAMPIONSHIP Blitz Match 120.268.924.3 Blitz Match 32.373.126.2 When will the chess end? Blitz Match 40.873.526.4 Tiebreaker games at the World Chess Championship will begin this afternoon. Over the past 19 days, Magnus Carlsen of Norway, the defending champion, fought his challenger, Sergey Karjakin of Russia, to a 6-6 tie in their best-of-12 match and the battle for chess’s top prize.And they’re not done yet. According to the FIDE match rules, this is how the tiebreaker will go:First, a mini-match of four rapid games will be played. Each player gets 25 minutes for all of his moves, plus 10 bonus seconds after every move played.If the players remain tied after those four games,1Wins are worth 1 point, draws are worth a half-point for each player, and losses are worth zero points. they’ll play a mini-match of two blitz games. Each player will get five minutes, plus three seconds after every move. They’ll keep playing those, if the two-game mini-matches are tied, for up to five total mini-matches (10 total blitz games).Finally, if none of that settles it, they’ll play one sudden-death game using a format known as Armageddon. White gets five minutes and black gets four minutes, but a drawn game counts as a win for black.I’m not supposed to root from the press box, but I’d be lying if I said I wasn’t intrigued by the possibility that the World Chess Championship will be decided by Armageddon. So what are the chances of that happening?To find out, we need to know the likelihood of draws in individual games in the rapid and blitz matches. In last year’s World Chess Rapid Championship (Carlsen won, Karjakin finished 19th), 29.9 percent of the games in the tournament were draws. So let’s suppose a 30 percent chance of draws in the individual rapid games. In last year’s World Chess Blitz Championship (Carlsen finished 6th, Karjakin 17th), 20.2 percent of the games were draws. So let’s say there’s a 20 percent chance of draws in the individual blitz games.2In the rapid and blitz championships, the time controls are similar to today’s tiebreakers, but slightly different. Players in those tournaments received 15 minutes rather than 25 for rapid, and three minutes rather than five for blitz. I’ll also use the two players’ listed rapid and blitz ratings from the FIDE website throughout my analysis to estimate chances that individual games in the two formats are won by either player. Rapid Game 464.959.720.1 I simulated tens of thousands of iterations of this afternoon’s tiebreakers using the same basic method I used to forecast the 2016 chess championship before it began. We’re guaranteed to see the first three games of rapid chess, as no player will be able to clinch the match in only two games, but there’s a 35 percent chance that one player will have clinched after those first three games. That would end the mini-match and thus the championship. There’s a 20 percent chance that Carlsen and Karjakin will be tied at the end of the rapid mini-match and that we will move on to the five-minutes-a-side blitz segment. According to my simulations, the two-game blitz mini-matches would each wind up tied about a third of the time.What all that means, sadly, is that there is just a 0.1 percent chance that Armageddon will decide the 2016 World Chess Championship.The tiebreakers begin this afternoon, and a world champion will be crowned. I’ll be covering them here and on Twitter.